Russia’s Arctic Corridor: Between Ice and Isolation
Absent a series of shifts, Russia’s Northern Sea Route will likely remain a niche corridor that is not predictable or de-risked enough to attract the world’s container giants.
Forecasting the Next World War: Between Theory and Practice
History shows that oscillating between realism and idealism drives both to extremes, making us reactive to crises and conducive to war.
Conflict as System Realignment: How Overloaded Systems Reset Themselves
Recasting conflict as a form of systemic realignment shifts the focus away from individual leaders, favouring of a deeper understanding of structural limits.
On the Trump-Putin Summit in Alaska
Russia cannot be entirely excluded from European security, and adopting a confrontational stance increases the chance of pushing Russia and China together.